Leggo Poker Every Tool You Need To Win

BobboFitos

Oct
07
2008
October 7th, The value of information.
Posted in Poker | View Comments (6)
 

Some information in life is worth nothing. For example*, directions to the nearby cafe; Aejones' favorite color; and how many HRs Ken Griffey Jr. hit his rookie year. This is because the information is either very easily accessible (mapquest/asking a neighbor, asking the man/myth/legend, baseballreference) or because it does very little for you. Brief interruption: "Information" alone generally cannot be used to make money. Rather, it's the implementation of information that allows one to profit. Applying this to poker, knowing that your opponent has a certain hand in a particular spot is very nice, but the real beauty is then being able to use that knowledge and perform the optimal action (whether it be bet, call, raise, fold, etc.). I want to add here that people make mistakes on the 2nd part far too often - GATHERING the information should be the tough job.

*Take a right off properzi, continue walking for .7 miles, it's across the street; blue; and 16 as a 19yr old.

Some information can come in handy but has low inherit value. For example, detailed knowledge of the US civil war. The reason this information is higher on the food chain is because it would take some time to learn all about the civil war. And, once you know about the civil war, it's possible you could parlay the skill into a tour guide job or something. Other information, though, has actual value (to differing extents, of course). Finance, nuclear science, and I suppose poker are things that few have "mastered," and there is great financial incentive to learn (and then apply) said art.

This blog entry is not about poker, though. It's about the NBA. This coming season I intend on making a decent amount of money betting on games. I'm not quite sure what my goal should be. That said, even though I come from a background that loves sharing (and in turn, learning/growing/getting better at the particular subject) I need to hold back most of what I've been spending all my time on. So, I'm sorry! I am attaching an interesting picture that doesn't really show anything of value, but provides some fun for NBA fans.



What this graph displays is that pace (or speed that you play) really doesn't correlate with point differential. At all. (Point differential is typically a better barometer of team success than win-loss, although I have those figures too) The reason this is a cool graph is that many coaches/GMs/analysts feel a team needs to "slow down" or "speed up" (philosophy-wise) for the purpose of generating offense or helping defense or [insert cliche] and the truth is it really doesn't matter. Although, I enjoy watching fast basketball > slow!

~~

I moved hotels to the Inn at Harvard, which is a big step up from the Holiday Inn. I'm here for another day+, and then I'm going BACK home to be with cousins/etc. for Yom Kippur.

FINALLY, I've sent out some PMs regarding the book, which is basically explaining what the hold up was, and that it should be (after a 3 month hiatus!) back on the markey. Soon. *About this, a guy contacted me about doing an interview regarding the book/process/selling it online, and I'm pretty excited for the interview. I think it'll be fun.

Looping around (I know I said "finally" but it's my blog, so :P ) NBA futures were announced yesterday. A "future" is simply a teams chance of winning the championship (this changes as the season goes on; like a future in the stock market, you can buy or sell it throughout the course of the season). Also, win-totals were announced. My immediate impression is that the futures didn't look very +EV (they generally aren't, Vegas makes sure of that!) but there are a few really horrible over/under lines. I likely will put down a decent amount of action, but I'm going to be tight lipped for the time being.

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Comments
10-07-2008
SEABEAST is offline SEABEAST
awesome, man. i've never gotten into sportsbetting because, like stocks, i'd only want to do it if i were to embrace it properly and really learn what i was doing.

sounds like you are, would be super fun railing games with money on the line and getting paid for it, gl!
10-07-2008
Somnius is offline Somnius
Somnius's Avatar
very very cool. sportsbetting seems pretty dam exciting when you get into the science, can't wait to have a big enough roll to make use of this information.

next up in the internet gold mine, sportsbetting coaching sites. Leggolines.com.
10-07-2008
BobboFitos is online now BobboFitos
Seabeast-i actually get pretty nervous with having money on games because once the bet is made, its out of my control. Much like a frisbee. Also, no edge can be definite. (Although I'm pretty sure! )

Somnius, lol@leggolines, well done.
10-08-2008
Isura is online now Isura
I don't think I'll ever do sports betting.. It would take the joy out of one of the few pure things in my life
10-10-2008
AppleSeed is offline AppleSeed
Do you know Haralabos Voulgaris? I read that he is a professional sports better who bet's on the NBA and plays poker.

I remember listening to a old cardplayer radio interview with Scott Huff where he made around 250k or so betting on Lakers first championship win with Shaq/Kobe.

He mention that since the ball was round, it would be easier to predict compared to a football where it would make funny bounces etc. I believe he mainly betted on the over/under.
10-10-2008
BobboFitos is online now BobboFitos
Yeah, I plan on doing mainly o/u. Haralabos Voulgaris is one of my heros, he's the man wrt sports betting. That story you heard is true - he put his entire BR on the lakers since he felt it was such a profitable bet. boom, it held, and now he rakes it in