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chrisw7128
Hi friends,
Haven't posted in a while. I didn't put much volume in during November and December, and I spent 23 days in January backpacking Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica with a friend. Got back on Jan 23rd and started grinding again. I moved down to 100nl because I have a history of going lagtard/batshit crazy every time I come back from taking a break. I played alright this week, ran good (not ev wise, but overall), and feel comfortable playing again. I feel really motivated to put a lot of volume in next month. I'm doing this semester abroad in Aachen, Germany, which doesn't start until March 1st. Hello ten week Christmas break!
http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/7...ojan312011.jpg |
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Hello friends,
I hope everyone is doing well.
After a pretty swingy three weeks, I decided to take off the last week of September. I played some live poker (lost about $2.4k) and worked on some other projects.
September results:
http://img185.imageshack.us/img185/9...010results.jpg
Post-Vegas Results:
http://img835.imageshack.us/img835/9...mber302010.jpg
Some thoughts:
Since I started playing, I've always played pretty small games. Most of my volume was at 100nl and 200nl. I think having some relative success recently really fucks with my mindset. I'm a much stronger player after I've been losing or after I've taken a few days off compared to after I finish a weekend heater or something of the like. Hence I took off the last week of September after winning a 2knl shot because I've seen this cyclical pattern that goes win $X, feel good, lose something like .25-.65 of $X, step back to reality, get grind back on the mind, repeat.
I want to get this shit out of my system so that I don't drop to my C or D game every time I win a session. There are so many guys out there that crush me. I don't know why I feel like I've earned the right to sit back. If anybody has experienced this and figured out a way to combat it, let me know. So far all I've come up with is to remind myself that I'm terrible and undeserving, and if that doesn't work, take a few days off.
Anyway, hope everyone else is winning! Also, I loved the nutsinho vid this month. You upper-level guys should use some good ole peer pressure to get more vids out of him.
Chris
PS: How do I import images directly into my blog rather than links to them? Thx. |
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Hi Leggo,
It seems that so far in small stakes PLO, everyone is afraid of the nuts. My winrate there is coming almost solely from valuebetting the fish. I'm think I'm missing a lot of value by not attacking boards against players unlikely to have the nuts in places where it's easy for us to have the nuts. Here are a couple spots that I perceive as good to attack:
I was planning not to shove this river on T, J, or board pairing card. As played, I can't imagine villain not shoving turn with JT. FWIW if he has JT I don't think he should shove the turn though because my range is so polarized. Flatting the flop and turn in his shoes with JT would only be bad if I had a hand like KKJT, QQJT, or JT99, which won't happen too often, but it's upside is that his flatting range is protected in the future and I can't barrel him off the 2nd nuts so much. I'll stop taking this line when people start protecting their calling range with the nuts, but so far, I think people's range in this spot is pretty imbalanced to non-nut hands.
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
UTG: $100.00
MP: $182.25
CO: $162.70
BTN: $70.25
Hero (SB): $100.00
BB: $90.05
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with J  8 J  8
1 fold, MP raises to $3, 2 folds, Hero calls $2.50, 1 fold
Flop: ($7.00) K 9  Q  (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $5, Hero raises to $14.50, MP calls $9.50
Turn: ($36.00) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $25, MP calls $25
River: ($86.00) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $57.50 all in
On this hand I planned to fire three also if not raised on the flop as long as the board didn't pair and no backdoors came in.
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
MP: $236.65
CO: $100.85
BTN: $104.15
SB: $91.45
Hero (BB): $126.75
UTG: $95.45
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with 6 Q J Q
3 folds, BTN raises to $3, SB calls $2.50, Hero calls $2
Flop: ($9.00) K J 9 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $7
Thoughts? Like/dislike? |
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Hey all,
When we get dealt AAxx, it's always really awkward to play postflop if the stacks are somewhere in the range of 1.5x-4x the pot. I think we can all agree on this. Because of this, we often flat bad aces to open raises 100x deep to avoid making a ~25bb pot with ~87bb stacks.
Isn't this essentially the same spot? Who 4bets here? Who just flats? Flatting creates a 27.5bb pot with 191.5 stacks for an SPR of about 7. 4betting creates a pot of 87.3 with stacks of 162.25 for an SPR of about 2.
What's better here, flatting or 4betting? And to those who 4bet, how do u plan to play most flops?
Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi $0.20 Ante - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
SB: $200.00
BB: $163.35
Hero (UTG): $311.65
CO: $204.55
BTN: $538.65
Pre Flop: ($2.50) Hero is UTG with A A 8 Q
Hero raises to $4.50, CO raises to $13, 3 folds, Hero ?? |
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Hi Leggo,
This spot came up yesterday:
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
SB: $128.70
Hero (BB): $157.70
UTG: $102.25
MP: $120.25
CO: $101.30
BTN: $110.60
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with 8 T K A
4 folds, SB raises to $3, Hero raises to $9, SB raises to $27
In my limited experience at 100PLO, this is AAxx just about 100% of the time. If this is indeed AAxx, I don't have enough implied odds to call preflop even if he bet/calls every single flop. Does this mean that 3betting this hand was a mistake? It plays pretty well postflop and can get called by far worse hands, but can't withstand a 4bet. Should I only be 3betting hands that will flop enough equity often enough to withstand a 4bet?
The math is below for those who are interested.
I will need 40% equity to stack off on the flop:
101.70/(101.70+101.70+54)=.395
I will flop 40% of more equity 29% of the time against AAxx. Of those times, my average equity will be 62%
10/29(.45)+9/29(.57)+10/29(.83)=.62
Folding preflop has an EV of 0. Calling preflop has an EV of -$1.20.
.71(-18)+.29(.62(36+101.7)+.38(-18-101.7))=-1.2
PS: Why am I getting an error when trying to use the Leggo converter? Thanks for replies! |
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Hi Leggo,
My name is Chris and I have been playing poker since 2008. I have played lots of NLHE and am currently learning PLO. I've had pretty good success at 100nl-400nl HU over the last two years, though I was always a very weak 6max NL player.
I'm starting my PLO studies in 6max and will obviously have lots of questions. I've been a member of all of the training sites, and I must say Leggo has the best coaching lineup of all. Because of that I am going to be blogging here. I've never blogged before. I'm a 21 year old student who is barely literate compared to some of you guys, but I think I'll fit in alright.
I'll probably cross-post some of my blogs into the forums to get additional feedback. Hopefully I find a good bit of value in doing this.
That's all for now,
Chris
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