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Not playing on the sideline

Jan
29
2011
MTT Binkage!
Posted in Poker | View Comments (17)
 

So its the first Multi Entry Sunday on FTP this weekend (All Gtd's doubled) and Id' like to have a good crack at them after having several deep runs/near misses lately (Granted I butchered my exit hand last night ((VOMMIT)).

Sunday Brawl $256 x6
150K $163 x4
Double Deuce $22 x6
750K $216 x6
150K $163 x4
Fifty Fifty $55x4

Total $4488 for 30 entries
1:1.25 mark up $5610

1% $56
5% $280
10% $560

Looking to Sell 70% to play. Send to Robocow on FTP thanks.

I've checked out the times/blind levels ect and the only point where I my multitabling abilities might be pushed is when the 750K loads up 3hrs in. At that point the brawl will be @ BB250/500 and the 150K @ BB100/200 So I could potentially be playing 16tables and another 6 pop up for the 750K. If thats the case I guess I'll sit out on a few on the DD tables for a while, but I reckon its pretty unlikey that ill still have all 16tables going from the Brawl/150K/DD so shouldn't be an issue although It would be a nice problem to have.

OPR's:
36% ROI off 1126 comps ABI $39 (+189runners is 48%)
FTP

-28% ROI off 795 comps ABI $27
Stars

785% ROI off 469 comps ABI $25
Ongame

83% ROI off 297 comps ABI $19
Ongame

Also looking to play multientry FTOPS on 13th and 20th Feb and do similar sunday schedules to this one (with some modifications) once a month until I've finished uni then play more frequently afterwards. So if anyone would like to do more of a long term thing Im open to suggestions as it helps me out with the buyins and decreases your variance (I have already agreed to sell 40% once a month)

As its tommorrow I need to shift this quickly to play!

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Comments 17 Email Blog Entry  
Comments
01-29-2011
kingfisher is offline kingfisher
60 % left
01-29-2011
kingfisher is offline kingfisher
I just busted 5th for 2.2K so ill up my slice to 30% Still need another 40% though
01-29-2011
TwoSHAE is offline TwoSHAE
just a PSA, entering more than once in the same tournament is very -EV due to the fact that your stacks are combined when your accounts would be forced to play on the same table. You should take advantage of it by entering all the tournies once instead of 6 times...
01-29-2011
kingfisher is offline kingfisher
This arguement is obviously going to come under some considerable scrutiny shortly but I agree with you that the outlay of 4x the buyin with only one shot of taking a serious cash (read final table) creates an inital major -EV, on the other hand it does help to iron out the variance (ridiculous in the case of mtt's) quite considerably in the long run. Im not looking to min cash (1.5x my money) or even brake even. I'm looking to win as its the most profitable long term outcome and getting an additional 3 or 5 more shots at that can only be a good thing (provided the variance doesn't bust you)

When you look at how frequetly top Mtters cash in tournamenst its about 1 in 7 at a maximum. then you look at that that 1 in 7; how many time do they make the final (where the actual big profits are)? Personally I feel like 1 in 3 is a good rate dependant on runners in each mtt) so if you've got 2 or 3 stacks heading for a deep run then it gives you a far greater edge: there is less variance on the flips and you're more willing to make those +EV moves and take the flips when you're a marginal favorite; you enable yourself to take more risks to get a dominating chip lead which increases your EV massively when you can open so many more pots.

As I said Im not looking to brake even, Im looking for big results and I think that being able to run 4-6 entries in the same competion increases my edge massively. I've practially made a final table every session with reentries and Im certainly not running above EV. Im just able to play A LOT more volume and cutting the variance out a bit. I'll send anyone my database to to contest this. (provided they tell me my leaks :P )
Sorry this has turned into a long rant ill happy skype anyone about it and im very keen to see what people think about re entries in the forums...
01-29-2011
Isura is offline Isura
TwoShae you are way wrong here.
01-29-2011
IcarusJam is offline IcarusJam
What Isura said
01-29-2011
IcarusJam is offline IcarusJam
and i think the markup is a tad high
01-30-2011
scout is offline scout
i think any mark up from someone who ''can't afford to take all their action'' is a tad high..lol
01-30-2011
TwoSHAE is offline TwoSHAE
Isura-
Do you agree the 2nd entry is lower EV than the first, 3rd lower than 2nd etc...?
01-30-2011
TwoSHAE is offline TwoSHAE
you do also realize that playing 4-6 times per tourney means you will be like 20 tabling and therefore playing terribly bc no one that plays that many tables is even playing remotely well.
01-30-2011
Isura is offline Isura
THe dropoff if small. It's extremely rare that multiple entries will go deep in a large field. The fields will be tougher, which makes the EV of these less. But that' irrelevant to the discussion
01-30-2011
kingfisher is offline kingfisher
@ IJ I asked around before deciding on a mark up and n 80/20 seemed pretty standard for mtt staking and people have agreed to back me on that figure. If I am struggling to sell action then I'll lower it to a point where all parties are happy. On a side note I dont know how feasable it is to drop to far down from 20% for putting in 16+hour sessions with 5min breaks

@scout why? I cant afford to take a 4.5K drop in one night if I lose. these tournaments are great value and I dont know how often reentries will run on this scale and im definately +EV in them.

@shae I agree 20 is too many tables even when im folding most hands for the first 2 hours in each comp.

As I didnt sell enough but im playing the 84K gtd 4x (240K in the prizepool and 46.8K for first of $26!) the DD 6x the 750K 6x and the 50/50 4x and taken 90% of myself.
01-31-2011
scout is offline scout
look,if this were a pure staking agreement you'd be getting 40(you)/60 at best, selling action at mark up is a total joke and you know it!

if you were so +ev you wouldn't sell a cent aniec.
01-31-2011
IcarusJam is offline IcarusJam
lol scout...r u the real scout? if so...legend!
01-31-2011
IcarusJam is offline IcarusJam
and selling at a markup is common and good practice of bankroll managment, so flaming him for being +Ev and selling is pure retarded
01-31-2011
kingfisher is offline kingfisher
read that last statement back...You're talking nonsense! How is selling action at a mark up equilivant to 80/20 a joke when im beating the low-mid stakes at a good rate over a decent sample size. Of course I'd prefere not to sell a cent and keep all of my profits but it would be a total joke to outlay $10K on mtts in a month seeing as I barely have $10K roll.
01-31-2011
scout is offline scout
well thats just my opinion,i'd like to see the math on kingfishers or anyone's ev in these tournies with standard deviation factored in before you make a believer out of me.

i'm not trying to burn you personally here kingfisher i just think mark up in general is a joke,not yours personally.
 
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