I spoke with Probability the other day and he thinks I am playing too loose. I think he is right. I would like to play tighter preflop, but continue with improving my postflop game. I am much better at putting people on hands now, and I am always pleased to see my reads are accurate at showdown. I think I am pushing marginal situations though and getting involved with a lot of flips. I don't put in a lot of volume every month, so it takes me a while to ride out the variance and if the results are not in my favor, it affects my play for the worse. I will play much tighter (and more profitably, hopefully) until the end of the month and see how it goes.

Here are two examples of hands that I think I would just like to avoid.

NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
Hero ($50.25)
BB ($106)
UTG ($58.20)
CO ($50)
BTN ($49.75)-----Playing around 24/16 opening a ton of BTNs

Dealt to Hero Q K

fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5, fold, BTN calls $3.50

FLOP ($10.50) 2 8 7

Hero bets $7, BTN calls $7
------------I can tell by my bet sizing here that I was unsure of what to do. I think he calls with a pretty wide range preflop, and I bet this flop thinking I am folding out a lot of unpaired overs and Ax hands that have decent equity against me. All the same, I don't expect him to fold 99-JJ, and when he calls the flop, that is what I put him on. AKdd gets it in preflop, Axdd raises here, a set raises here on the flop, too.

TURN ($24.50) 2 8 7 4

Hero bets $18, BTN raises to $37.75 (AI), Hero calls $19.75

I decide to bet call with two overs that I think are good if I hit and a Q high FD which I think is good if I hit. I bet slightly less than I think I should, again, but I am just getting odds to call it off against what I think his range is.

RIVER ($100) 2 8 7 4 3

BTN shows T T
(Pre 56%, Flop 72.4%, Turn 68.2%)

Hero shows Q K
(Pre 44%, Flop 27.6%, Turn 31.8%)

BTN wins $96.50






NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($79.67)
Hero ($64.90)
UTG ($30.60)
CO ($86.08)-----75/2 65 hands, fairly aggro
BTN ($49)



Dealt to Hero 6 A

fold, CO calls $0.50, BTN raises to $2, SB calls $1.75, Hero calls $1.50, CO calls $1.50

FLOP ($8) J 7 3

SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $4, BTN folds, SB calls $4, Hero raises to $21.50, CO calls $17.50, SB folds

TURN ($55) J 7 3 2

Hero bets $41.40 (AI), CO calls $41.40

RIVER ($137) J 7 3 2 A

CO shows J Q
(Pre 42%, Flop 54.1%, Turn 72.7%)

Hero shows 6 A
(Pre 58%, Flop 45.9%, Turn 27.3%)

Hero wins $134

Preflop I make the call because I know the huge donk/limper just can't fold preflop once he has limped in. On the flop, because of where my head is at, I sigh and think "another high variance spot." When the donk donks half pot, I put him on a weak Jack or 88-TT. I felt really confident about this, and when the SB calls, I think he doesn't have anything strong. I think I should have raised a little bigger on the flop because then it would have given me better odds to ship the turn when I miss. I think I have a decent amount of FE, too. He tanks, calls, and I am good on the river.