Just a few questions guys

was wondering if any americans or europeans have access to betting sites that offer AFL football
I Just want to compare prices because the vig in oz seems absurdly high even though
there are plenty of legal online bookmakers, I can bet on BETFAIR too,

has anyone had any issues with using betfair for sports betting?

for example head to head is 1.95 v 1.85 excessive?

betfair has same game at 2.12 v 1.87 but a vig of 5% on winning bets
so adjusted its 2.01 v 1.78?? therefore its the same price regardless

can this edge be overcome in sportsbetting longterm?

decided to play a $200 live tourny bad structure average stack was 10bb after 4 hours
100 runners i finished 14th 9 paid
i played really well considering these hands from 35 left

KK<88 he flops a set but only a psb on flop
99<ak alinpre
aj<1010 alinpre
aq<a10 allinpre
kk<AA allinpre such a coller, worse was that i hollywooded for a a couple of mins to induce AA to shove
then i shove kqs for 7bb utg and lose to ak oh well

its tough playing off my own moneyand losing ive worked really hard on my game and Im playing really really well just cant get that score to ease the pressure. so im torn between playing a lot cos im playing really well online and live but losing $$$ or stopping for a bit and losing my momentum and everthing ive learnt over the last couple on months, nothing makes u sharper than playing imo.

if anyone reads this my advice to you is this PLAY AND LEARN CASH not MTT

FUCK YOU POKER
7th in MTT for measly 400.
2k on top
7 hours one tabling

on FT start in 3rd chips 60bb then

lose allin pre
33<AK for
AQS <AQo
99<A8o
AK ties with AQ fro plenty
A8s< A5

clearly i ran well to FT a 1200 tourny but never got it in pre worse than a flip
and lost plenty of them

my last few final tables i havent been able to go top 3, its disheartening while retards FT every day
at least im playing well but itll be nice to be playing with profits not in make up even if it is make up to myself

edit: ignore this stupid post
i have my health, mind etc and i shld be happy to a) be able to play b) get deep
if not I need to buy some perspective or quit poker

Its Aussie Millions here in Melb so the cash game action is prettty good
and cos im broke im not playing any tournys
Anyway I sit at 2/3 and its a soft table as in not particular aggressive and predictable
therefore I counter by playing particular aggro I think this is correct albeit more suceptable to variance.
my issue is; that to my right there were a lot of 30-50bb stack, so I was three betting and opening a lot getting flatted pre a lot but then im left with 1-1.5psb a lot of hands were played HU post flop and I was forced to effectively shove hands on flop with little equity, I still think in theory this is ok as they are going to whiff 2/3 of the time and sometimes I have a hand.

so the question is
a)do you think I should play more inline and just clean up when I have the best hand?
b)or move to a table with fuller stacks?
c) continue as is

heres an example
im on button with js10s


(100) mp opens to 11
(100)mp2 calls
(120)co calls
300(hero button rasies) to 45 ( I think they fold a lot is looks insanely strong and at that point I hadnt three bet althugh it was only 20hands in and If im shoved on I have decent equity against everything other that jj-AA as they fold AJ A10 almost always)

they all fold except co

pot 110
flop 6 6 5 r

I shove

he makes a crying call with AK

I suck out so im not being results orientated

the question is what is more profitable (AT THESE STACK SIZES)

A)flat and use my position and relative skill but essentially need the cards to fall as it ll be played 4way at minimum

B)or put pressure on pre cut down the amount of players and therefore my skill diff is greater and
I can win without the cards

I think if we are a bit deeper then B is good im not sure at these stack sizes and because crown has a max buy in of 200 im up against <100bb stacks a lot

insights appreciated

utg 100 raises to 10
3 callers

I squeeze to 65 (300 behind(prob 45 is plenty there??)

SB flats has me covered

everyone folds

170ish in pot

SB was flatting a heap preflop he wold limp and I wold iso and no matter the amont he would call
he could hand read ok but was a bit of a station at this stage I had him on 1010+ and suited connectors as he loved playing them ie 45s 78s. I thought AK was most likely as he wasnt the type to get it in pre as he loved seeing flops.

flop is 8s 9s 2h


I have the Js


I bet 100 into 170 ( is this a mistake im getting value from 1010s but if he flatted an over pair hes not folding and it hits npaired flatting hands pretty hard

turn is the 10s (pot 370) he checks and I get a sense he doesnt love the hand but isnt folding
I decide to check and try to bink a spade or my straight I think a set might be good some % 2.

river is a blank he checks

I ???? im leaning to checking here as I cant make better fold(its live) and there arent many worse that can call




Ill post what he had later today

would appreciate your thoughts
on my play and what you think he had

This was really hard had to make it 15... sort of in order

1) The contest

2) The Marine biologist

3) The bubble boy

4)The opposite

5) The puffy shirt

6) The outing

7)The Cafe (babu)

8) The Good Samaritan

9) The Boyfriend(part 1&2)

10) The race

11) The Bris

12 ) The Jimmy

13)The switch

14)The soup nazi

15 ) The strike

silent movies not included

not in order

To Kill a Mockinbird

The Elephant Man

Citizen Kane

schindler's list

Casablanca

deride at will

im not playing well nor am i playing badly,maybe ive fogotten how to play tournys.

ive been playing mostly mini ftops and low scoop, ppl play bad and bluffing is futile, ive not ran badly as in bad luck im just card dead which is strange as ive always felt like my runbad was just suckouts or set ups. but recently ive had nothing which has triggered me to play impatiently or maybe ppl are much better and im underestimating thier hand reading.

only 18 months ago i would run up stacks so easily now when i have a big stack im not sure what to do as im unaccustemed to it. im forcing it to much but i need a FT for my confidence however i wont be playing much in june as ive decided to lpay a lot more live. I dont play NLcash online anymore so why live games are soft i think ill be focusing on that. PLO online is going ok and although im only winning small at my game plo506max ive ben winning from the start of me playing it and coming from tournys it suits me better as plo 100bb or less imost decisons are pre and on flop I quit when deep

. anyway dear poker gods my wish is not that i win but that i will get a sign that will tell me if im playing well or otherwise cos at the moment i cant tell. and thats the worse feeling ive had since i started playinh
oh while im wishing for things lop off a couple of inches this thing can be unweildly

Maybe/likely the big names dont know the implications of Black friday, but apart from Durrr there silence is pretty annoying.

Lederer and co even if he knows nothing could say something I mean your on TV every fkn minute and now that players are desperate for some comfort everyone bunkers down.Same with Negranu.The poker Boom stars like Ivey Lederer DN PA etc could post something on 2+2 even if they just said "we dont know whats happening but we have all players in our thoughts and will get u info asap" SAY SOMETHING instead the only comment is brandon Adams pots pokerstars. Props to durr though hes all class posts on 2+2 and seemingly has some empathy.(and he ll be one of the biggest losers with rol/sponsorship)

on black Friday my 2 cents is that players monies are safe I understand that they are kept in trust (therefore not p/stars property therefore possibly safe from FBI) I do think it will be a long and difficult process to get this $$$ but you will get it.

hope US players dont have to wait long b4 they get to play again but pretty sure tilt and stars wont be available to US players ever, feel really bad 4 u guys hope im wrong and well be able to play again soon.


PS heres a game that unifies millions around the world in a peacefull setting and govt wanna segregate us, no wonder theres wars with these idiots, ffs we are consenting adults and all we re doing is playing cards, pretty fkn harmless

was playing 100ploHU
against a huge fish -7ptb and minus 30k lifetime
he actally told me he never bluffs
and he didnt!!!! apart from gettin jqk3 dble suited all in pre for 100bb against my AAQx(i lost)

I kept calling his value bets with the 2nd nuts and he kept shwing me the gold
so fkn owned and tilted FARRRRRRK
he was letting me grind him down, i was card dead but he was folding to much and played basic fit and fold it was boring but easy money.

oh well im really at the crossroads im doing well with omaha
butam finding poker in general a bit boring (esp playing plo 50 and plo100 as its too low to interest me and I cant really afford 200 might be a loser there too).

at least ive learnt ill never be an online NL cash game player so its tourny and plo but i just dont have the time to become elite.

might have to just go play live and make easy money. crown casino in melb has the sofest games in the world.
really dont know what to do I think tournys are out, other than for fun. so its either live or PLO online or just play for fun when i want (although its no fun for me unless im aspiring to be the best not that ill get there its the aspiring that gives me the drive, playing plo100 6max 4 tables wouldnt be fun and any higher is just donating.

choices suck!,im leaning toward playing live a few nights a week or maybe giving poker away and just face facts that im a boring accountant and always will be