your thoughts on the river overbet raise

[Earl_Shriner]

This was a hand against an aggro full tilt pro who barrels a lot. I have never played him before but this overbet doesn´t made sense to me, cause imo he would almost always bet this turn with a flushdraw.
I guess he had to fold almost his entire range here and can only call with K high flush and above, cause i could easily have Q high flush myself QhJh, QhTh or Qh8h and even Ah5h, KhJh and KhTh are in my range.

So did i have any mistakes im my thoughts???

Full Tilt, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 2 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $233.50
BTN: $217.10

Pre-Flop: 5 3 dealt to Hero (BB)
BTN raises to $4, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($8) 5 Q 9 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $6, Hero calls $6

Turn: ($20) 4 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($20) 2 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $36, Hero raises to $78, BTN folds

Results: $92 Pot ($0.50 Rake)
Hero showed 5 3 and WON $91.50 (+$47.50 NET)

He told me in chat, that he had A3.

[manuvatuvei]

Whats the dynamic, do you 3 bet QJs+?..

What what about Axhh ?

I wish you didnt tell the result and i find it hard to believe he folded A3..

personally i 4 bet shove river with air here

[d2themfi]

id put the odds that he had A3 or better at like 100-1. He almost for sure had a complete bluff or thinish value bet. If you decide to raise the river I think you have to shove. I would just fold though

[Earl_Shriner]

Originally Posted by d2themfi

id put the odds that he had A3 or better at like 100-1. He almost for sure had a complete bluff or thinish value bet. If you decide to raise the river I think you have to shove. I would just fold though

Imo its very hard to call this raise even if he had something like A3 up to random T high flush, cause i think the chances of beeing bluffed in a vacuum are less than 10%.
I normaly would fold here of course, but at the time his overbet doesnt made sense to me.

[llWaLkOfLiFell]

I wouldnt expect him to fold any flush or A3 vs your size, and wouldnt be surprised to get looked up lighter than that.

[ALF36]

Originally Posted by llWaLkOfLiFell

I wouldnt expect him to fold any flush or A3 vs your size, and wouldnt be surprised to get looked up lighter than that.

this