5/10 150 bb deep OESD + FD

[tradebyday]

Played awhile ago but dug it up and wanted to get thoughts...

BERG and 1976 are both TAGs.


Stage #1329857534: Holdem No Limit $10 - 2009-03-23 19:31:37 (ET)
Table: TANYA AVE (Real Money) Seat #6 is the dealer
Seat 6 - ANNIE28 ($4317 in chips)
Seat 1 - 9TEEN7SIX ($1945.50 in chips)
Seat 2 - BERG5528 ($3469 in chips)
Seat 3 - TRADEBYDAY ($1509.50 in chips)
Seat 4 - SIRSTACKEMS ($571.50 in chips)
Seat 5 - ZCJ90 ($2829 in chips)
9TEEN7SIX - Posts small blind $5
BERG5528 - Posts big blind $10
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to TRADEBYDAY [6s 7s]
TRADEBYDAY - Raises $35 to $35
SIRSTACKEMS - Folds
ZCJ90 - Folds
ANNIE28 - Folds
9TEEN7SIX - Calls $30
BERG5528 - Calls $25
*** FLOP *** [2s 8s 5h]
9TEEN7SIX - Checks
BERG5528 - Checks
TRADEBYDAY - Bets $80
9TEEN7SIX - Raises $190 to $190
BERG5528 - Raises $600 to $600
TRADEBYDAY - ????

[playforfoodz]

shove. you've got over 33% equity vs any range

Hand 0: 44.088% 44.09% 00.00% 21498 0.00 { 7s6s }
Hand 1: 27.956% 27.96% 00.00% 13632 0.00 { 88, 55, 22 }
Hand 2: 27.956% 27.96% 00.00% 13632 0.00 { 88, 55, 22 }

[sauce123]

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,709 games 0.005 secs 541,800 games/sec

Board: 8s 5s 2h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 14.618% 14.62% 00.00% 396 0.00 { 7s6s }
Hand 1: 52.990% 52.49% 00.50% 1422 13.50 { 99 }
Hand 2: 32.392% 31.89% 00.50% 864 13.50 { 9s4s }

[playforfoodz]

that would be another way to look at it! but 94s? and 99 getting ai on this board? sure, when they take out 3 of our SD outs and all flush draw outs, we're in deep trouble

Wins Ties Equity
21.59% 0.00% 21.59% ( 6s7s )
24.14% 0.00% 24.14% ( As4s )
54.26% 0.00% 54.26% ( 88 )

[sauce123]

yea i mean ur 21% against the combo (better made hand, higher FD), im just saying its not as fist pump as it looks at first glance, its a bit of a sklanskys horse race scenario

[playforfoodz]

lol, i've just updated it with the calcs you mentioned

/agreed with the post above

[tradebyday]

Yeah sauce, I actually folded in the hand as did the initial raiser. I thought best case, I am up against a set...which I am still a dog, worse case I am running into set and the NFD. Of course, I could have been up against two sets and in good shape... but the pot is small and chances are I get it all in vs a set with less than 50% equity.

[grogheadflow]

instinctively I fold. Though this post is obviously a level to make us think you ever open 67s UTG

[tradebyday]

lol grog...i'm convinced every one of your blog posts now is a level intended to get me to call down one of your 3 barrel overbet jams.