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Old 10-07-2008, 06:51 AM
BobboFitos BobboFitos is offline
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Default Re: couple of multibarreling spots at mid/highstak

Ok, a little more in depth:
Hand 1 is really bad because you've decided he has a fairly strong range. Why is this? Well, he opened from EP; called a reraise (when you've already decided he's not opening that loose UTG, or has any reason to defend light); and did not fold the flop. What this means to me is he simply doesn't have ace high or 55; his WEAKEST hand here is 88, maybe 78dd or something if he's being super frisky. On the turn, the 7 helps his range, as it's unlikely he has an underpair lower than the 7 (which would feel they have less equity vs a legit hand) and it's not inconceivable for him to have trips. QQ+ is never folding, and I know you say JJ would be a hero to call, but again, it's not a guarantee fold.

So when he calls the turn, his weakest hand here is a 9 (VERY rare, also 98 and T9 of spades now have flushes, so technically just 4 combos of weak 9s) and the hands that MAY fold are 99-JJ, which some % of the time folds the turn.

So basically, you're bluffing into strength, when villain could be slowplaying ("slowplaying" here could mean just calling down with QQ, for example, fwiw) and not only that, but you get very few guaranteed folds. To be frank, this 3rd barrel is likely throwing away 300$ or so, which is a massive mistake.

So that's why I think hand 1 is terrible and the worst of the lot.
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