[BobboFitos]

Reason I do like hand 2's last barrel is that I agree with you, a nit generally c/r the flop or turn with something big and very rarely will have the flush when he c/c the turn unless it was a decent draw, and those c/r the flop some% of the time, and even when they don't sometimes they lead the river. So I think his range is actually pretty weak from start to finish. However -

It's BvB, and the turn changes nothing. You have showdown value vs things like KJo, 45hh, etc. and you have a weak draw. Getting c/r isn't the end of the world, but I think you don't have a ton of FE. So, since I imagine you wont get many folds AND you dont have an equity advantage, I don't understand betting. FWIW I would check the flop a decent % of the time, especially BvB.

As noted I do like the 3 barrel, and I wouldn't be surprised if this one worked. Don't know why in my haste in my initial post I didn't like this one, in fact this is better then 4.