Hey all I know this is an old hand and that trying to figure out Dwan's play is way over my head,but I've been thinking about this hand for a while and have some thoughts/questions that maybe some of you can help me with...
First off I'm s little curious as to what you guys think about Eli's re-raise, to me it seems that with 99 just calling would prevent you from getting into some tricky spots. Also do you think that Tom calls because he knows that people might not be giving his raises too much credit and because of that Eli won't always have a strong hand but at the same time thinks he might be able to take it down post flop is a either a low flop comes or some sort of f.d. and push Eli off of some over-cards or higher pairs?
now post flop I think it would be easy to take any 3 out of Eli's range, but maybe not the case for Dwan
after Eli leads out is it possible to say that he probably would not have a Q in this spot? because he most likely will be cbetting nearly all flops and would probably just call pf with a hand like KQo, QJs and maybe QTs. Maybe he would re-reaise w/ KQs or AQs I really don't know much about his game. Plus now there are only two possible cards that he could hit instead of 3, and maybe he is trying to force a fold from some sort of suited hand?
now where I'm really confused is w/ his turn call. I know he is obviously trying to set up a bluff on the river if he doesn't catch a club. But if that happened he would have virtually no showdown value, and I know he was able to get him to lay down 99 but really aren't the only hands he can beat here are similar missed draws or some sort of bluff/semi-bluff. This is a pretty big pot so I would have thought that Eli might consider the fact that durrrr wouldn't just shut down if two blanks came after the flop especially when your second barrel is about a little over a third of the pot.
What would you guys do? Would you call w/ 99 or even TT, JJ, or like AK, KK or AJ? Would a call on the river be profitable here or is my noob logic just wrong?