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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 08-24-2010, 01:32 PM
Soldier
 
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Location: Berlin
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Default 2/4 - using my nutblocker ?

$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero ($497.30)
CO ($714.60)
BTN ($570.70)
SB ($1,341.40)
BB ($180.85)

Pre-Flop: ($6, 5 players) Hero is UTG A A
Hero raises to $12, 1 fold, BTN calls $12, SB calls $10, 1 fold

Flop: J 10 K ($40, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $30, BTN calls $30, SB calls $30

Turn: 9 ($130, 3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

River: 7 ($130, 3 players)
SB bets $100, $100 to Hero ($455.3)?

on a 5handed table
Btn is a taggish player but with a pretty high 3bet Range OTB

SB is somewhat wild.. not superloose but def. very active 29/22 14% Squeeze

they'll see me as Tag on the looser side i guess, but i'm pretty new there so i dont know what they think of me or my stats

do like the idea of using my nutblocker to fold out Qx and small Flushes ?
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Old 08-25-2010, 03:46 AM
Don
 
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Default Re: 2/4 - using my nutblocker ?

Depends

You can be pretty certain that his range is sets, straights, flushes.
Your range does not contain many straights but still has a ton of hands in it. Your value range is probably pretty narrow (given that he'll assume that you bet turn with Qc ) while your river range is still very wide.

You bet 455 to win 230, so basically you need to be 66% succesful on your bluff. I don't think it's a good spot.
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Old 08-30-2010, 04:08 AM
aejones's Avatar
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Default Re: 2/4 - using my nutblocker ?

nah fold.you are likely percieved to bet the turn with most of your hands that are a flush on the river, he's also v unlikely to be bluffing (v likely to have a Q), and those two things make this a fold imo.
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Old 08-30-2010, 06:23 AM
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Default Re: 2/4 - using my nutblocker ?

Pretty happy folding. A bluff would only work well I think if ur pretty certain he lays down a straight...but I think most players look you up a fair amount
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Old 08-31-2010, 05:05 PM
Video Producer / Poker Coach
 
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Default Re: 2/4 - using my nutblocker ?

he has flush or Q pretty often. Also wild player is more likely to call you here because it's kind of spot he's likely to try bluff
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Old 08-31-2010, 10:55 PM
Video Producer / Poker Coach
 
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Default Re: 2/4 - using my nutblocker ?

Snap fold, def don't try and get people off hands as strong as straights on unpaired boards when you don't rep that many flushes since people expect you to bet the turn sometimes with flush draws (even though checking basically all flush draws on this turn is fine). Cliffs - people don't fold straights and never flushes.
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