400NL 6max: Overpair facing c/jam

[polak004]

Villain is a reg, playing 31/30 18% 3bet over 50 hands. Cbet flop 5/5 (1/1 in 3bet pots) and 0/3 on turn (0/1) in 3bet pots. No other reads.


Poker Stars, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $876.23
BB: $813.53
Hero (UTG): $406
BTN: $1,183.09

Pre-Flop: T T dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $8, BTN folds, SB raises to $36, BB folds, Hero calls $28

Flop: ($76) 6 3 9 (2 Players)
SB bets $40, Hero calls $40

Turn: ($156) 7 (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $75, SB raises to $330 all-in, Hero ???

[c0gnAc]

dont bet if you are not calling...

[polak004]

I bet mostly to go get villain to fold his equity plus get value from his bluffs like 98s or 87s. Do you prefer checking back or are you always bet/calling here?

[c0gnAc]

tbh I would make a very small raise on this flop to get it in. Your hand is best very often, you are stacking some of his valuehands like 9x, you might induce bluffshoves from random overcards. Also there are ALOT of turncards you dont want to see.
As played with no reads whatsoever and stats like this I prefer bet/calling the turn for value. Not thrilled about calling the shove but you got a gutshot which makes the call easier...

[FabledHero]

I would only bet fold if you were sure he'd never shove worse and that he checks his overpairs on this turn a lot. You have to call 230 to win about 580? Meaning you only need 28.4% equity and if he has an overpair for example you have 14% equity against his better value hands alone, then he can have flush draws, maybe 9x that is c/r shoving for value/protection. Basically if you put in a value range of KK and QQ for 12 combos of overpairs, then 5 combos of flush draws you hvae 30.5% equity which is good enough to call. And that's really almost a worse case scenario so it's an easy call once you bet.

[neonsolen]

I would definately raise flop and expect him not to give us much credit and ship it in light Think this is the most + ev line and it certainly makes our hand easier to play