400NL TP vs checkraising machine

[ultrasPNT]

I think villain can have AK/AQ here a lot.

This villain 3bets AK vs utg, probably even AQ a decent percent.

[shootaa]

I like what Chewy says about not extrapolating one tendency to another one. I think it's easy to do most of the time on a turn scare card (say he check-raises you on T96 and the turn is a Q and he bets again, it's probably with all of his flop CR range). Here, the only scare cards are clubs, your hand is face up as Ax, so it really just depends on his ratio of value bets to bluffs and whiffed club draws.

I'm not positive of the math off the top of my head, but anytime you're looking at suited combos of hands there are a lot less than value combos in these spots; so try not to be too optimistic in hero mode versus someone who isn't too crazy!

[FabledHero]

It also helps to know what boards he c/r and continues on. He might be the type that c/r A high boards then gives up because he puts you on an ace. Whereas on say a 862 board he'll c/r and barrel off thinking your hand is often a weak pair, draws he might think you could peel A high or something like that thus he feels it's good to barrel off.

In this spot I'd generally fold the turn, I think it's a stretch to call down and I think he's going to barrel river with his whole range. To those who said this guy would never flat 22 or 55 I think they're projecting their own play style. Someone who is capable of c/r 27% is probably going to play a lot differently than most people.

Edit: I'd call down, I need to start reading the boards and thinking more thoroughly lol. "In this spot I'd generally fold the turn, I think it's a stretch to call down and I think he's going to barrel river with his whole range." With this logic in mind as someone else said he will also play 33 and 44 like this since they're gutters, and those are more likely, so against a player with a c/r this high, pretty easy call down. I think you could fold on a 3 or 4 river though probably, call any other river. Although what chewy said is also important, how often he tends to barrel turn and rivers after c/r flop. I kind of would imagine a player like this to barrel off his gutters though.

[Diginet]

Hi, I think you play your hand pretty face up you have AQ or AJ all day in this spot on the river and your line would be the same with both hands. I dont think you get to the river with A5 with the line you took. Given the reads you have I think its a call. I think all the hands that get there on the river that beat you would 3bet PF rather than flat OOP.