Fire that 3rd barrel?

[n4rf]

Villain here is a pretty good reg, pretty aggro, runs 27/23/3 with a fold to cbet of 51. Views me as a snuggish player. I have seen him make heroes in the past.

I consider a 3barrel here because 99 and 66 become extremely unlikely, and I'm probably facing a range of AT-AQ here (plus the occasional AK), and sometimes 78 which obv isn't folding, though there are only 3 combos of 78 assuming he calls the suited kind.

He def would realize my range here for 3 barreling is quite strong, given there aren't any missed draws I can ever really have in my range except for turned spades.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $4(BB) Replayer
SB ($581)
BB ($434)
UTG ($458)
Hero ($464)
CO ($400)
BTN ($406)

Dealt to Hero 9 8

fold, Hero raises to $14, fold, BTN calls $14, SB calls $12, fold

FLOP ($46) 6 9 A

SB checks, Hero bets $31, BTN calls $31, SB folds

TURN ($108) 6 9 A 6

Hero bets $71, BTN calls $71

RIVER ($250) 6 9 A 6 5

Hero?

[coachgp]

i wouldnt expect AJ to fold, so ch/f

[JamesMa]

player dependent. can be great or bad but in general firing a barrel is fine. in this case since u say he hero calls maybe not the right guy to do it vs.....but if u bluff and get looked up just make a note and realize ur image is deteriorating.

[Patonius2000]

I'd prob c/f turn but if I bet I'd def bet most river, this being one.

[Patonius2000]

oo sry didn't see we had a fd, i def wouldn't c/f turn obv. I guess 3 barreling is fine since you should still be c/f turn a lot.

[harangutang]

His range is heavily weighted to Ax when he calls that turn. He might fold less than A8s and rarely will fold AJ/AQ. I would expect him to cold call AJ/AQ a ton of the time here, but probably folds a lot of combos of A2-A8s. It seems like a spot where your range should be very strong to bet 3 times on and he will likely know his hand is faceup as AJ or something similar, but I just don't think people fold much here. I'd c/f river.

[steel108]

It really depends on what level villan is on and what he thinks of you. If I think you are good, I'm calling the river w a 9 or better. The fact that the turn brought the back door flush draw makes me call. If I think you are mediocre I'm folding a lot on the river. I'm probably calling AQ+ and that's it.

[MYNAMEIZGREG]

Originally Posted by JamesMa

player dependent. can be great or bad but in general firing a barrel is fine. in this case since u say he hero calls maybe not the right guy to do it vs.....but if u bluff and get looked up just make a note and realize ur image is deteriorating.

Nice, especially agree with the in general it's fine line.

[RikaKazak]

vs. a hero caller I don't fire river....but against some opponents I like it a lot