NL600 Did I just get outplayed or vs. a panzy?
On this particular hand I'm having a difficult time deciding if the villain completely outplayed me, or he's just a panzy who misses value with his hands. He's a 17/13 with a 2.4 AF. I don't have the exact hand history (on a different comp right now) but I remember it pretty well.
It's NL600 FR on Tilt
2 people sitting out, so it's 7 handed
UTG folds
Hero with 77 raise min to $12 (SB and BB were "oldtime ss'ers" who now buy in small stacked..hence the weird open size)
folded to BU
BU 3bets to $45
Folded to Hero
Hero calls cause he has a little over $900 and I cover
Flop 887 rainbow ($96)
Hero checks
Villain bets $76
Hero calls
My thought on the flop: we have no history or dynamic, so only AA/KK stacks this flop imo (and maybe like a T9s or 8x that isn't a big part of his range, but possible for sure) I doubt he 3bets my ck/raise very often with air (although admittedly he will sometimes) Also...I felt if he had AA/KK I could stack him on later streets anyways, by checking it'd also give him a chance to hit if he had AK...and it might let him barrel trying to push me off my TT/JJ type hand even if he just has AK high.
Anyone lead the flop?
Turn 9 ($148)
Hero checks
Villain checks
River Q ($148)
Hero checks
Villain checks and loses with AA (and hero smacks himself in the face for not stacking him)
On the river...I thought he might rep the Q and try to get me to fold my TT/JJ type hand. Also I thought if he did have a slower played KK he would bet and I could overbet bomb the river. Now I know "most" people don't have a river overbet bomb ck/raise in their range on the river...but I LOVE doing it...so if he's watched previous pots I've played he's had to seen me do it/get caught with a bluff at least once.
Now...from his thinking, since the turn went ck/ck...maybe he thinks I bet every hand on the river that I would "ck/call" with on the river...so there's no value in a river bet except to induce a ck/raise bluff. And if he didn't feel like playing that guessing game, he might as well just ck behind???
So...is he just a panzy that's missing value? (I mean I will have JJ there...and I appreciate him not putting pressure on me at all) or is he thinking on that higher level and maybe I need to be ck/raising that flop and going for stacks earlier? (I mean if he does have AA he's probably stacking that flop 150 bbs deep and putting me on KK or a draw often enough imo)
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