Re: Overbet jam...ever a bluff?
I rarely advocate taking the more passive option, but 250bbs deep, VS an UTGr, with ATo I wouldn't be squeezing too much. If I did, it would be on the understanding that the move would almost be insta-profitable from PF, and if we flop the nuts or something post then fine.
The catch is that 250bbs deep, assuming semi decent reg, is going to be flatting you an absolute ton, so it's not going to be insta profitable from PF. And, more importantly, making your life hell. As is what happened.
As played, I wouldn't be betting to fold this turn with the draws out, and it becomes a sigh call (whilst mentally reprimanding myself for the PF action).
edit: ok you say he 'looks like a donk', still don't squeeze.
Hand 2, basically what greg says. In a vacuum, it'd be a call, but we're not in a vacuum and all these variables swing it either way.
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