Villain is a loose regular who 3-bets a bit less than you would expect. The small turn raise by him feels like he is trying to get to showdown cheaply and is thin value or perhaps a semibluff with something like QT with a diamond. I'd be surprised to see a flush or full house make that sized turn raise.
Given that line of thought I figured I had to just call the turn. I'm most interested in whether this is a bet or a check on the river. If I bet I assume he will call with a J and fold everything else. I guess it pretty much comes down to how often he has Jx versus air... and then how often he valuebets a J or how often he bluffs. If he valuebets a J would he be likely to call a small cr?
Full Tilt, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com -
Hand History Converter
Hero (SB): $471.30
BB: $584.40
UTG: $392.50
CO: $418
BTN: $400
Pre-Flop: 8
A
dealt to Hero (SB)
3 folds,
Hero raises to $12, BB calls $8
Flop: ($24) 7
A
J
(2 Players)
Hero bets $14, BB calls $14
Turn: ($52) A
(2 Players)
Hero bets $34,
BB raises to $72, Hero calls $38
River: ($196) A
(2 Players)
Hero ???
Quads!
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