Villain is a good regular capable of moves and frequently attacking weakness. He is opening the button 50% of the time, cbetting 77% overall.
$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
PartyPoker
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by
weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG (
$131.80)
CO (
$394)
BTN ($394)
SB (
$76)
c0gnAc (BB) ($400)
Pre-Flop: (
$6, 5 players)
c0gnAc is BB 10

Q
2 folds,
BTN raises to $8,
1 fold, c0gnAc calls $4
Flop: Q

2

3

(
$18, 2 players)
c0gnAc checks,
BTN bets $13.50,
c0gnAc raises to $35, BTN calls $21.50
Turn: 7

(
$88, 2 players)
c0gnAc checks,
BTN bets $56, c0gnAc calls $56
River: 2

(
$200, 2 players)
c0gnAc checks,
BTN bets $295, c0gnAc calls $295
My reasoning for raising the flop is, that I'm very far ahead of his cbetting range, also I'm very frequently getting called by worse, it's quite likely that I induce a bluff3bet on a board that dry and I want to be checkraising on that board as a bluff quite often since his range is so weak.
On the turn I feel like my hand is not really strong enough to vbet but it plays very well as a bluffcatcher, so I check call. On the river he tanked for quite a bit and then shipped all the money in. I feel like my hand is pretty face up on the river and he is likely to vbet most better hands (maybe not QJ) like this. On the other hand I think he has ALOT of random highcard hands he turned into a bluff on the turn. If i fold this hand I'm folding a very big part of my range on the river, yes I will play a set like that sometimes, but sets are hard to get

thoughts?