Variance in non-showdown pots

[Citadels]

I'm not entirely sure this is appropriate for this forum. TBH I'm not sure it isn't a shit post either, if so I apologize.

Basically I'm just wondering how much variance people experience over mediumish samples with their results in non-showdown pots.

Over my last 120k hands, the first 60k or so (about 60/40 400NL and 1000NL) I was roughly breakeven in non-SD pots. The following 60k hands, I've been getting smoked to the tune of 3 BB/100, 100% of these hands at 400NL (ty taxes.) My SD results have been relatively consistent over this period.

I'm wondering if this is standard or if it indicates a deterioration in my play, that regulars are adjusting to me, etc. I realize this is going to vary greatly based on playing style, game selection and other factors so this should all be taken with a major grain of salt, but I know I'm not the only guy driving himself nuts over the stupid red line so maybe it'll be helpful for somebody.

[desire]

lose the red line and start worrying about results

[grogheadflow]

^ Originally, raving about the red line was the cliche. Now, saying it doesn't matter is the new cliche.

It actually does matter, it's representative of building too many big pots and then folding, not bluffing the river often enough, and flaws in your cbetting/ barreling strategy.

fwiw, mine has been fairly consistent, kind of a regular pattern of waves. thus: