Originally Posted by JohnniePunani
Fear of getting check raised is no reason not to value bet. This is flawed logic imo.
I think given deeper stacks this is a value bet and it's not even close, really. He has worse pocket pairs a TON of the time.
I think the real reason why betting is so sketchy is because bet folding 15 when it's only a minraise is pretty terrible and he might not call a shove with worse.
If he's stationy and passive I don't see anything wrong at all with betting like 1/4 pot. That's a tasty tasty bet for a station that's being knocked around.
I'd make it 9.99 just to be CHEEKY.
I wouldnt say itsflawed logic, it isnt the reason to check but it is one piece of the puzzle.