88 NL20 limp/call and try to steal postflop

[XM177E2]

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
Hero ($20.65)
BB ($30.81)
UTG ($14.15)
UTG+1 ($33.92)
CO ($29.56)
BTN ($24.11)

Dealt to Hero 8 8

UTG calls $0.20, fold, CO calls $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.10, BB raises to $1.20, fold, fold, BTN calls $1, Hero calls $1

FLOP ($4) J J 9

Hero checks, BB checks, BTN checks

TURN ($4) J J 9 3

Hero bets $3, BB calls $3, BTN folds

RIVER ($10) J J 9 3 9

Hero bets $7, BB raises to $14, Hero folds

BB wins $22.80



BU is 19/16
CO is fish

I'm not sure about my preflop play. 88 might be good to open, not to just call. When raised i think i can call, since we are 3way.

I think BB will play straight forward here and if he doesn't cBet he isn't strong here: AX, 77-88, TT, maybe T9. BU will have PP most of the time so i decide to steal pot on Turn. When get called i think he have some FD AT AK-AQ, KQ. I'm not sure if trying to make him fold flush on double paired board is good idea. He riases and it id ofcourse easy fold. I suppose he slowplayed some monster from flop like FH+.

[poker girl]

I put BB on TT+, AJ+, KQ. All these hands he might check the flop vs 2 players and just call the turn. Most likely he calls the turn with TT+, AJ and 2 overs with a flush draw. You're not doing very well vs his range. I like your bet on the turn, but when called I would give up on the river.

[mythrilfox]

since I don't think he calls bare many ace highs on the turn I think he has TT-AA, AKcc/AQcc/ATcc, or occasionally Jx+ on the river a lot, and I don't think you get folds from like any of that range. would not be surprised to see you get looked up here over 75% of the time

[Langerz]

Preflop - I don't think limping is bad, but I'd prefer a raise. Calling the raise is fine.

Turn - I'm not wild about stealing the pot. Sure no one has shown interest, but you are 3 way with a fish so I'm not sure you take it down that often. Although depending on the level of fish you could get called by A hi type hands and worse pairs and this could be for value.

River - As mythrilfox says he doesn't check flop and call turn with a ton of A hi hands. I doubt he's folding a flush. I'd just c/f the river.

[Rolling chances]

i would never bet the river here

[Probability]

I'd probably iso preflop myself.

I'm never stabbing in these spots. Might be a leak but it's just not something I'm doing currently.