Flush draw HELP

[dgekson879]

2/5 nlhe

You have two spades and there are 2 spades on the flop. I'm only concerned with flush draw and not total outs.


Playing 10 handed. How many outs do you have to hit your flush? Also what
percentage is this?

From books I have read it states 9 outs with an approximate chance of winning of 36%, rule of 4.

But why are we counting 9 spades? That means that the other 9 players did not get dealt a spade. I wouldn't even know how to calculate 9 players not getting dealt at least 1 spade, but the odds must be huge.

So my question is mathematically and realistically how many spades out should be calculated in a 10 handed game. 9,8,7,6,5?
Lecheraso is offline Reply With Quote

[bubsodian]

the reason u assume it is 9 is because we cant see the other cards the other players have so on average there will be a 9 in 47 chance on the turn of hitting ur flush and if u miss the turn 9 in 46 chance on river, this means chance hitting flush is 1- (38/47)(37/46) which is about 35%. If u knew cards other players had u could update ur info and refine this probability so it would b more accurate like u say u cant assume each other player has no spades but the prob takes this into acct

[dgekson879]

Originally Posted by dgekson879

2/5 nlhe

You have two spades and there are 2 spades on the flop. I'm only concerned with flush draw and not total outs.


Playing 10 handed. How many outs do you have to hit your flush? Also what
percentage is this?

From books I have read it states 9 outs with an approximate chance of winning of 36%, rule of 4.

But why are we counting 9 spades? That means that the other 9 players did not get dealt a spade. I wouldn't even know how to calculate 9 players not getting dealt at least 1 spade, but the odds must be huge.

So my question is mathematically and realistically how many spades out should be calculated in a 10 handed game. 9,8,7,6,5?
Lecheraso is offline Reply With Quote

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