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Old 01-29-2012, 07:22 AM
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Capo
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 426
Default TPGK vs limp/caller (175€)

Hey guys

Here is one Hand i played in a Live MTT and iīd like to know what you think about that hand...

MY Reads on Villain:

He was about 25y.
We played around 7-8 Orbits.
The first hand he played on our table i openraised -everyone foldet.
next hand i openrasied again and he 3bettet me (i folded)
He coldcalled an openraise and raised the cbet on a T87r board - he raised a couple of cbets (maybe 2/5)

having said that, i had the feeling that he might be on the looser/aggro site. But i dont know if good or bad.

fwiw: i think he saw me on the looser site as well. but not shure about that.

AVG stack was about 18k on that point

Blinds 150/300 Ante 25 - converted by me

Villain (UTG) 22.000$
UTG+1
...
...
Hero (BTN) 34.000$
SB 8.000$
BB 12.000$

Hero BTN with K T

Pot 700$

Villain calls 300$, 6 folds, Hero raises to 1.100$, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls

Flop K Q 6 (Pot 2.900$)

Villain checks, Hero bets 1800$, Villain raises to 4800$, Hero calls

Turn 5 (Pot 12.500$)

Villain bets 6000$, Hero ?

Villain has about 10.000$ left.

My thoughts were:
I doubt he was limp/calling KK/QQ there. neither would he l/c KQ. i though he would openraise that.
Anyways, i have a blocker to KQ - there are only 6 combos left. i disscount 50% if it cause often he would just openraise it pre. plus 6 combos for the set of sixes
So there are 9 combos which beat me.
But i feld he would play some flushdraws that way as well - like A5s,T9s,78s,98s,JTs. etc.
I think i have two options in that hand. shove or fold. i dont like a call because it would just cause an awkward spot (Pot/stack Ratio) on the river.

However the amount of hands are beating me is higher than his bluffing range i assume.


So i guess a fold would be the most +EV thing to do, right?
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Old 01-29-2012, 10:36 AM
Capo
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 286
Blog Entries: 94
Default Re: TPGK vs limp/caller (175€)

hes raised a lot of c bets
he open limped
he aint repping much
u got close to ur dream flop for your hand
I think he bets a bit more with a set
lots a draws
so
I play all my chips ALLIN!!!
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