100PLO - 2nd NF on paired turn

[AKmaert]

Cant remember guys stats but hes a pretty standard multitabling 25/20 sort over a couple of hundred hands. No specific reads outside of he seems to cbet more than most and a lot of his bets postflop are potsized.

Preflop and flop seem standard. Turn he pots again making his line horribly incongruent and FOS looking, prob with the naked ace of spades imo. Can we call/call or is this too ambitious?

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 532512
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP: $105.00
CO: $133.75
BTN: $13.85
SB: $33.50
Hero (BB): $105.95
UTG: $104.80

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with J Q J 8
2 folds, CO raises to $3.50, BTN calls $3.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.50

Flop: ($11.00) K 9 5 (3 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $10.45, BTN folds, Hero calls $10.45

Turn: ($31.90) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $30.35

[BigCheesy]

I'd fold until proven otherwise. It would be a tougher decision if the board didn't pair, because you can expect him to bet sets on the flop. Betsizing is important here tho, you're right he looks FOS.

[Sc000t]

I agree 100% with BigCheesy. The bet sizing looks like BS but it's not worth it to call potentially another 90+bbs to find out if he is bluffing...I think cutting the 13bb loss until you can get a better read is the smart play.

For all you know, he just always bet pot no matter what and can be doing this with the NF and with sets...and with the naked As as well.

If he pots turn and pots river with boats and nut flushes but gives up and just check folds rivers with air and balances those correctly on how often he tries to run the bluff you're potentially losing here by always calling two streets in this situation...just something to think about.

[grizy123]

I would just go away unless I absolutely and positively feel the need to go for a one outer.

[Patonius2000]

[quote=AKmaert;83122] Turn he pots again making his line horribly incongruent and FOS looking, prob with the naked ace of spades imo. Can we call/call or is this too ambitious?
[quote]

I disagree about your point about his line being incogruent. I think what you're saying is that because he potted the flop he likely has a flush or As and then when the board pairs he would check back a flush (or at least make a smaller bet for value). This is pretty flawed given that he can have any combination of flush+2pair/set or simply be b/f a bare two pair or set. Not betting a hand like top set on the flop would be a huge mistake from him. All that said I really doubt he is going to bluff again on the river if he's bluffing turn and you have a strong enough range not to be exploitable by going c/c c/f.