****Official Durrrrr vs Jungleman Thread****

[Probability]

ya, ur right, it also would have allowed me to catch more than the last 5 minutes of the match.

the line to bet on durrrr is like +200ish right now. i think it might have shifted a little too much and ur seeing guys like sauce (iirc) book on durrrr. for people that like durrrr or "long shots" i think this would be a pretty good time to bet.

[Sedeete]

probability,

what odds do you think would be decent for jungleman winning the challenge at this stage of the match ?

EDIT: i ask probability, but it's anyone's opinion really, feel free to shoot

[robbyd86]

lol, matt's gonna open his own propbet website after this.

[Probability]

i would start to put more money on jm at -160 but im not sure if that's right.

[Sedeete]

Originally Posted by robbyd86

lol, matt's gonna open his own propbet website after this.

aha yea, maybe he should.

Thanks proba

[Probability]

unless aaron is fucking with me he talks shit about my degeneracy regarding this bet on the next leggocast

[Vitas23]

Originally Posted by Probability

unless aaron is fucking with me he talks shit about my degeneracy regarding this bet on the next leggocast

lolz

[Probability]

vitas and i figured out the odds on this earlier. we both felt there is around a 70% chance for jm to win, just going on gut and no real information. then after asking someone who is also terrible at math, but slightly better than us, what the break even point would be we came up with this little formula... that might be close to right.

3:7

1:2.33

-233

meaning... if this is even close to how it's done, that the current line of -220ish is pretty close to what vitas and myself (experts obv) would set it at.

done talking to myself.

[JamesMa]

Probability,

pinnacle sports has UFC fight mir vs filipovic at -216 for a win by Mir. Do you think there is enough of an edge to throw down some cash

[Probability]

lol, you know waaaay more about mma than i do. i'm not sure man.