****Official Durrrrr vs Jungleman Thread****

[Probability]

Durrrr interview starts at 53 minutes in

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8CBOBkrSqwM

[flaviusO]

Originally Posted by JamesMa

Probability,

pinnacle sports has UFC fight mir vs filipovic at -216 for a win by Mir. Do you think there is enough of an edge to throw down some cash

the only way cro cop would beat mir is that mir buys a new motorcycle and breaks his legs once again

[Probability]

JM interview....

http://www.pokerstatic.com/hot-seat/...man-interview/

He basically says it's a lock and he can not be beat. I obviously agree.

[grogheadflow]

Matt are you not a little tempted to bet against and lock in your profit right now?

[grogheadflow]

Also, this really puzzles me........ how were you in a position to judge that Jungelman was better (and commit a shitload of money to this end) when you don't play HSNL HU yourself? I'm genuinely interested.

[robbyd86]

Originally Posted by grogheadflow

Also, this really puzzles me........ how were you in a position to judge that Jungelman was better (and commit a shitload of money to this end) when you don't play HSNL HU yourself? I'm genuinely interested.

Youll have to subscribe to probabilitypropbets.com when it launches for that kind of info

[Probability]

Originally Posted by grogheadflow

Matt are you not a little tempted to bet against and lock in your profit right now?

If I thought it was a good bet before the action there is absolutely no reason to lock in a profit. I kinda look at it like insurance, someone takes the variance for a fee. In this case the fee to reduce my variance would be huge.

I obv have no idea if this is the correct way of thinking.

[JamesMa]

Originally Posted by robbyd86

Youll have to subscribe to probabilitypropbets.com when it launches for that kind of info

I heard you get a discount to Probability Prob Bets when you sign up with leggo poker, is this true?

[robbyd86]

Originally Posted by JamesMa

I heard you get a discount to Probability Prob Bets when you sign up with leggo poker, is this true?

i think only if you have more forum posts than he does.

I really hope I'm around the next time these guys play, i was checking like every 15 mins when i was grinding this weekend and nada.

[Probability]

Originally Posted by grogheadflow

Also, this really puzzles me........ how were you in a position to judge that Jungelman was better (and commit a shitload of money to this end) when you don't play HSNL HU yourself? I'm genuinely interested.

In no particular order.

* Chewy and Aaron have both said at one time or another that JM is very very good.

* If you look at his PTR JM has beaten Durrrr and basically everyone else he's played with the exception of Isildur who he lost a lot to, but not in terms on BI's. He also lost to Zjustin right after playing Isildur, probably not on his game after the first 500K downswing. I just found this out after listening to the interview I linked a few posts up.

* JM thinks he is better than Durrrr and has (basically) said so publicly.

* JM's only game is HU NL. The time he spends studying has to dwarf the amount of time Durrrr spends.

* JM has more free time (and motivation) to study and maximize his EV here. I think JM probably spent more time going over his winning sessions than Durrrr spent going over his losing ones.

* There is a certain amount of fanboydom that follows Durrrr in the poker community. I thought this would basically guarantee whatever line was set would be slightly off, favoring the "home team'.

* He works harder than Durrrr. I was talking to Aaron one day and he mentioned how JM watches all the videos and puts in a ton of work on his game. The guy has the drive and desire to be on top, the guys on top are already there.

* As poker players I think we are in a unique position to know how extremely important the mental aspect of anything is. I feel JM's mental game (work ethic) is way better than Durrrr's.