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Old 07-03-2008, 04:43 PM
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AKmaert AKmaert is offline
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Default 100nl good river valueshove?

Cant remember villains exact stats but hes a bit of a spoon bless him. He'd been at the table for about 3 rounds and had been splashing around a fair bit. He got his stack by calling pot size bets on flop and turn for >half his stack with a flush draw and getting there. He doesnt seem to bet a whole lot but doesnt look like he wants to fold many pairs.

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $98.50
BB: $95.50
UTG: $163.70
MP: $90.60
CO: $110
Hero (BTN): $100.90

Pre-Flop: Q Q dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG calls $1, MP calls $1, CO calls $1, Hero raises to $5, 2 folds, UTG calls $4, 2 folds

Flop: ($13.50) 9 T 3 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $9, UTG calls $9

Turn: ($31.50) 9 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $24, UTG calls $24

River: ($79.50) J (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $62.90 and is All-In

I think a lot of his range is comprised of T's/random other pairs/9's and draws such as QJ/KJ that have rivered TP. Is shoving gonna be +EV here?
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