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Old 11-22-2008, 06:04 PM
flaviusO's Avatar
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Default 100nl, though river decision

MP: $104.00
Hero (CO): $100.00
BTN: $197.65
SB: $142.90
BB: $120.80
UTG: $97.00

Villain is 25/17 3bet 4.7 AF 2.1 (river 2.5) over 1.3k hands and I have these notes on him:

3BET POTS
call 3b 13-3.5 96s MP-SB, calls cbet rag flop, raise brick 2b if it's smallish
POSTFLOP
he likes to float even on Kxxx
no cbet pe A8s7s, call A, bet strong K
bluffs big on river 15/18
I can extract 3 streets out of him when he's having TP



Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is CO with 8 9
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, 1 fold, SB calls $3, 1 fold

Standard

Flop: ($8.00) T 7 A (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB calls $5

Standard cbet

Turn: ($18.00) J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $14, SB calls $14

Gin card, I have to extract out of him, maybe bet more?

River: ($46.00) 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $31, SB requests TIME, SB raises to $120.40 all in

Now I'm really puking, standard fold?! Thoughts?!
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Old 11-22-2008, 06:51 PM
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Default Re: 100nl, though river decision

Yucky spot. I think BDF is v. unlikely here given the ace is out and so my main concern is KQ. We are getting >3:1 and vs a seemingly spewy player here i think we are good enough more than enough to call.
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Old 11-22-2008, 08:07 PM
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Default Re: 100nl, though river decision

I don't think he chk/c with KQ. If he has an A on the flop when he calls, he can't have the flush. He could call with Txdd I guess and call the turn with increased equity. meh, I think I have to call here, and note what he has.
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Old 11-22-2008, 10:27 PM
Don
 
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Default Re: 100nl, though river decision

Yea don't think you can put half your stack in the pot and fold, sick spot but I think you are ahead of a wider range than you are behind. From the sounds of these he can def go nuts with two pair/set here.
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Old 11-23-2008, 08:05 AM
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Default Re: 100nl, though river decision

how about a 6$ cbet into the 8$ pot? ; I like a pot bet on the turn to get value out of AQ(not sure if he 3bets AQ since he 3bets under 5%), and make him shove AJ, AT; and if he's on a flush draw you should make it expensive; and on the river I would bet 49$ into the 60$ pot I've created, so I can't really fold a shove there. Also his river play is interesting if he has the flush... he might think you're exploitable and he might have some notes on you something like "he value bets small the river when he has a marginal hand, bluff/shove the river with this guy"; but why check/shoving a flush? you check back so many hands there: some aces, two pair; I'm not sure if you bet AJ there; and also from your good notes I see that KQ makes sence since he likes to float...I'm never folding this spot though.
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Old 11-23-2008, 08:32 AM
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Default Re: 100nl, though river decision

Snap call. You can't have a flush very often and villain likely knows this.
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Old 11-23-2008, 09:50 AM
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Default Re: 100nl, though river decision

Hero calls $46.50 all in

Final Pot: $201.00
Hero mucks 8 9
SB shows K T (a flush, Ace high)
SB wins $198.00
(Rake: $3.00)

I puke
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