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11-22-2008, 06:04 PM
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Godfather
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Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Romania
Posts: 1,104
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100nl, though river decision
MP: $104.00
Hero (CO): $100.00
BTN: $197.65
SB: $142.90
BB: $120.80
UTG: $97.00
Villain is 25/17 3bet 4.7 AF 2.1 (river 2.5) over 1.3k hands and I have these notes on him:
3BET POTS
call 3b 13-3.5 96s MP-SB, calls cbet rag flop, raise brick 2b if it's smallish
POSTFLOP
he likes to float even on Kxxx
no cbet pe A8s7s, call A, bet strong K
bluffs big on river 15/18
I can extract 3 streets out of him when he's having TP
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is CO with 8  9
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, 1 fold, SB calls $3, 1 fold
Standard
Flop: ($8.00) T  7  A (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB calls $5
Standard cbet
Turn: ($18.00) J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $14, SB calls $14
Gin card, I have to extract out of him, maybe bet more?
River: ($46.00) 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $31, SB requests TIME, SB raises to $120.40 all in
Now I'm really puking, standard fold?! Thoughts?!
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11-22-2008, 06:51 PM
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Don
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Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 634
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Re: 100nl, though river decision
Yucky spot. I think BDF is v. unlikely here given the ace is out and so my main concern is KQ. We are getting >3:1 and vs a seemingly spewy player here i think we are good enough more than enough to call.
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11-22-2008, 08:07 PM
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Redwingin it!
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 1,641
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Re: 100nl, though river decision
I don't think he chk/c with KQ. If he has an A on the flop when he calls, he can't have the flush. He could call with Txdd I guess and call the turn with increased equity. meh, I think I have to call here, and note what he has.
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11-22-2008, 10:27 PM
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Don
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Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Coeur D Alene
Posts: 647
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Re: 100nl, though river decision
Yea don't think you can put half your stack in the pot and fold, sick spot but I think you are ahead of a wider range than you are behind. From the sounds of these he can def go nuts with two pair/set here.
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11-23-2008, 08:05 AM
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Godfather
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Piatra Neamt, Romania
Posts: 1,068
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Re: 100nl, though river decision
how about a 6$ cbet into the 8$ pot? ; I like a pot bet on the turn to get value out of AQ(not sure if he 3bets AQ since he 3bets under 5%), and make him shove AJ, AT; and if he's on a flush draw you should make it expensive; and on the river I would bet 49$ into the 60$ pot I've created, so I can't really fold a shove there. Also his river play is interesting if he has the flush... he might think you're exploitable and he might have some notes on you something like "he value bets small the river when he has a marginal hand, bluff/shove the river with this guy"; but why check/shoving a flush? you check back so many hands there: some aces, two pair; I'm not sure if you bet AJ there; and also from your good notes I see that KQ makes sence since he likes to float...I'm never folding this spot though.
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11-23-2008, 08:32 AM
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approves of this post
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Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 3,380
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Re: 100nl, though river decision
Snap call. You can't have a flush very often and villain likely knows this.
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11-23-2008, 09:50 AM
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Godfather
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Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Romania
Posts: 1,104
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Re: 100nl, though river decision
Hero calls $46.50 all in
Final Pot: $201.00
Hero mucks 8  9 
SB shows K  T  (a flush, Ace high)
SB wins $198.00
(Rake: $3.00)
I puke 
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