100nl, turned str8 bad river?

[flaviusO]

BTN: $99.55
Hero (SB): $100.00
BB: $135.20
UTG: $76.95
MP: $82.95
CO: $101.45

Same villain as here: http://www.leggopoker.com/forums/sma...html#post31840

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with K T
2 folds, CO raises to $3.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $3, 1 fold

It's marginal, but against him I think I can play profitable this hand even OOP

Flop: ($8.00) 6 Q J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4, Hero raises to $12, CO calls $8

I think I can raise it a little bit more... This hand was played before the one with AK... So when he flats I assume he doesn't have a NFD here

Turn: ($32.00) A (2 players)
Hero bets $20, CO calls $20

Gin card! I think I should lead more, maybe c/r... Thoughts?

River: ($72.00) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $64.50 all in

Is this spew? If I bet more on the turn, like 28 the pot would be 88 and I'd have 56 so it would be an easy shove? Or should I be scared by this river? Thoughts

[btimm]

I am not sure if it is right or not, this is a good hand to post. I would bet like $25 on the turn though. And I expect villain t have some sort of made hand here. Given your image, I would expect villain to reraise a FD on the flop, thinking he has FE (he does) and you can be FOS a portion of the time, so when he flats, I expect him to have a made hand here and not a draw. Given this, I think the river is a shove. I don't expect many worse hands to call, but I always expect worse hands to check behind and I don't want to miss value. If you bet $25 on the turn, your shove would $59.50 into $82. I think that is how I would play the hand.