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Old 02-11-2012, 08:50 AM
Godfather
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 1,726
Default 100NL - Who played this worse, me or V?

V is 25/21 over 2.2k hands. 8.2% 3b, 68% cb, 40% fold to cb (same V as the 'Fold Turn' thread)

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($153)
BB ($122)
Hero ($219)
UTG+1 ($100)
CO ($249)
BTN ($25.75)

Dealt to Hero J K

Hero raises to $3, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $2.50, fold

FLOP ($7) 2 T 6

SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB calls $5

TURN ($17) 2 T 6 Q

SB checks, Hero bets $12, SB raises to $38, Hero ?

I am unsure whether cbet flop is good. We remain uncapped with a cb and he may fold his Ax and smaller pp's that haven't hit a set, however with a 40% fold to cb this maybe isn't true? I would definitely cbet if I had any fd or bdfd (including KxQd), so maybe just betting these combos here is better overall?

On turn it's one of the more ideal turn cards, so obv I'm gonna go all 3 here. However, when he c/r's it's very weird. It's obv bad from him because I'm definitely going 3 streets anyway now and he should know I'm not going to bet 2 and give up river etc. However can I even call or jam here when he may be c/r'ing similar hands that could both be both slightly better and freerolling with bdfd etc?
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Old 02-11-2012, 01:24 PM
polak004's Avatar
Soldier
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 117
Default Re: 100NL - Who played this worse, me or V?

I would expect to have 8 outs here just because your range looks pretty strong and hes probably not gonna look to bluff you on the turn with a FD so he most likely has a set. So I would call to try and bink the straight and possibly rep one of the flush draws if he decides to check to us.

Flop and turn are completely standard for reasons you mentioned plus you're UTG so you're going to get folds from most things that aren't nutted by the river.

Last edited by polak004 : 02-11-2012 at 01:45 PM.
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Old 02-11-2012, 01:59 PM
Capo
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 390
Default Re: 100NL - Who played this worse, me or V?

I think he would raise his sets on the flop being this deep.

QQ is in his range since youre deep he might just call this preflop.

So besides qq he has a lot of aj, kj, qt, and some flushdraws.

I think when he x/r turn and you call, he will fire a lot of rivers because you look kinda weak when you call this turn.

Shoving turn isnt that nice because you risk 133bbs.

Really dont know what the best thing is to do here but in the heat of the moment I guess I call and see what happens tbh..
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Old 02-11-2012, 07:02 PM
Video Producer / Poker Coach
 
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Default Re: 100NL - Who played this worse, me or V?

Call turn bluff flush rivers imo. I think sometimes he himself is bluffing or has something like Qx, maybe AJ, I do like your flop bet though because you have a lot of cards to barrel like this Q, or you can improve to TP which has good implied equity against Tx.
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