NL200: AA werid line

[iLovePasta]

Boss Media (IPN) No-Limit Hold'em, €2.00 BB (4 handed) - BossMedia Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG (€828.13)
Hero (Button) (€203)
SB (€223)
BB (€51.50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with ,
UTG bets €6, Hero calls €6, 2 folds

Flop: (€15) , , (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

Turn: (€15) (2 players)
UTG bets €20, Hero calls €20

River: (€55) (2 players)
UTG bets €44, Hero calls €44

Total pot: €143 | Rake: €3

Villain is playing 26/23/4.5 over 600 hands. His cbets are 78/64/100(5/5).

I chose not to 3bet pf because he folds to 79% of 3bets, SB squeezes 15%(this sess. he 3bet 5/19) & BB is SS, who's capable of shipping it light.

After villain's check on the flop, my thoughts were like either he has air & he can pick sth up on the turn(I don't mind comming basically any card on the turn) or he has a really strong hand & he wants to c-r me as pfr. Even though he has a c-r only 8% over this small-ish sample, I think it is a reasonable play on this board since it looks really bluffy & I can play back a lot.

On the other hand, I really don't know if Im ready to payout his c-r/bet/bet with "only" an overpair.

His turn overbet is quite weird, but given that I have that nut flush draw I decide to call & call blank & obv heart rivers.

Thoughts?

[klamsauce]

its fine as played. i wouldnt be looking to raise anywhere given his sizing.

probably betting the flop tho wct, im not really worried about getting cr w a hand this strong. he could be doing it with worse for value.

[davisimo]

How can you say fine as played? Pre is justifiable I guess, flop is really bad, turn and river you just have to call. But flop just has to be a mistake

[mythrilfox]

I'd just bet the flop since I don't think people c/f a flop this low very often, and esp not a guy with those stats.

[klamsauce]

Originally Posted by davisimo

How can you say fine as played? Pre is justifiable I guess, flop is really bad, turn and river you just have to call. But flop just has to be a mistake

fine as played after the flop. should have been more specific but when i say cant raise given his sizing im clearly talking about the turn and then the river.

[hopjesvlaa22]

you chose not to 3b because his f3b is 79%. Are you always playing 4max or are those stats from 6max?

I think I would just 3b pre because he might think you do this light because you are 4max and so you can assume he is going to play more back at you vs your 3bs.

But as played, I bet the flop. He might x/c with any pp, ax. Now since you have x the flop there is nothing else to do then just call twice.