turn top 2 with hist

[reemas]

villain is somewhat nitty in terms of stats (18/11) but we've tangled in a few spots now. one time we were deep and i open BU he called and c/r a 235 flop (I had A6), i called and raised his turn lead on a 5, he snap shipped 150BBs so i folded.

i've seen him call ATs from the BB and donk TP twice and ck/ck on a scary river card. he managed to stack me earlier on a cooler too, so he probably views me as aggro/tilted/stubborn.

Full Tilt, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

CO: $217.10
Hero (BTN): $100
SB: $103.25
BB: $289.30
UTG: $104.15

Pre-Flop: A 8 dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, CO calls $1, Hero raises to $4, SB folds, BB calls $3, CO calls $3

Flop: ($12.50) 3 8 2 (3 Players)
BB bets $9, CO folds, Hero calls $9

Turn: ($30.50) A (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $17, BB raises to $276.30 and is All-In

What do you guys think?

[mythrilfox]

i don't know that this needs much more analysis than: you have top 2 pair and there's a flush draw on board, calllcalcaclaclacclalallcall

[Donkadocus]

Not sure your history means much - hand 1 he had a set and turned a house.

Most likely hand is nut flush draw that turned top pair, I would stove that and small sets and then call regardless

[ultrasPNT]

Snap it, he doesn't have the balls to play a set like that, and if he does you'll suck out on the river anyways; fd+A can be there for sure.

[Gerv]

117 versus 53 ish so effectively 2:1 ya get. Assuming 7 combos (3+3+1) of set you do not beat you must at least be faced by 14 combos of hands you beat with >33% eq and looking at certain combo draws, weird TPTK and stuff I think you can easily get 14 combo's
Furthermore even if you are up against a set you have a meager 10% equity but EV wise this brings also a tremendous profit

[Isura]

call. flop may be a fold

[ssells73]

Flop is very close to folding I think. Snap turn though.

[preflopjitters]

Gotta call it off, imo. I think you might be able to fold the flop ,tbh, because you are just not going to know where you are on a lot of turns and he is most likely going to continue to bet.