Irishman07 - Hand Analysis Part 2

[Irishman07]

Video Description: In part 2 of his hand analysis series, Dan breaks down a hand played 200bb deep at $1,000 NL 6-Max. Dan discusses 4 and 5-betting pre-flop and considerations for making a hero fold on the river.

Video Link: http://www.leggopoker.com/videos/training/1228/

Discuss here!

[gotvloei?]

Really nice vid, what kind of program are you using? whats the name of it and where can i find it

[Irishman07]

Its called Slice and is very similar to PokerStove but with a cool couple of extra features. You can find it here:

http://www.evplusplus.com/

[gotvloei?]

thnx, really need to work on those things more....
Im also a very big math newbie, so i got some questions.....
your betting 200 in a 300 pot on the river, how do i calculate how mutch % that needs to work. I get confused, do i need to at the 200 to the pot or not?

[gotvloei?]

Do you think math is overated? I know some highstakers who always say lol_math and for me its the same, i am a big math newbie but a winning player

[aejones]

Originally Posted by gotvloei?

Do you think math is overated? I know some highstakers who always say lol_math and for me its the same, i am a big math newbie but a winning player

most of the high stakes guys who say that are intuitively very good at math

[Irishman07]

Originally Posted by gotvloei?

thnx, really need to work on those things more....
Im also a very big math newbie, so i got some questions.....
your betting 200 in a 300 pot on the river, how do i calculate how mutch % that needs to work. I get confused, do i need to at the 200 to the pot or not?

Risking 200 to win 300, so you need your opponent to fold 200 / (200 + 300) = 40% of the time. This assumes you have 0% equity when called.

From your opponents perspective, when you bet he needs to call 200 in a 500 pot, so he needs to be good 200 / (200 + 500) = 28.6% of the time.

[Irishman07]

Originally Posted by gotvloei?

Do you think math is overated? I know some highstakers who always say lol_math and for me its the same, i am a big math newbie but a winning player

Math is important in the sense that given assumptions about your opponents range and how he will react to different plays by you, there is a correct mathematical play that can be calculated. The trick is getting the assumptions about your opponents range and how he will react to you correct. This is what the very successful players are able to do and why they don't necessarily need to be super well versed in mathematics. Like Aaron said, intuitively they are able to make the correct mathematical play just because they have such a good grasp of opponents tendencies.

[gotvloei?]

i like your guys thinking about that, thanks

[gotvloei?]

Originally Posted by Irishman07

Risking 200 to win 300, so you need your opponent to fold 200 / (200 + 300) = 40% of the time. This assumes you have 0% equity when called.

From your opponents perspective, when you bet he needs to call 200 in a 500 pot, so he needs to be good 200 / (200 + 500) = 28.6% of the time.

How do you calculate your equilty in to your total assumption of fold equilty on a 2nd barrel for example? Lets say your opponent has to fold 40% of the time to make it a instant +EV barrel, but he only folds 32% of the time... How do i calculate that it could still be +EV with my equilty? if you understand what i mean