whats up bond. is that AK stack early on in the video really as standard as you make it out to be? i'm not convinced gibler is going to be shoving AQ for value over an UTG 3x, and at that point we are in a really good chip situation at the table. it's probably +cEV just because of dead money, but i could think of some tournaments i would just fold in.
part 2 of question would be what's the worst pair we call with? JJ? maybe 1010?
I think so, for a variety of reasons. First of all, UTG+1 is only opening a 25 BB stack and he's going 3X, so with many of his holdings Gibler is put in a more likely push/fold situation than if he were facing a min raise.
I think Gibler will be jamming a wide number of pairs here and there will be plenty of dead money in, so folding AK is not an option, especially to an aggressive reg like him. I agree it's unlikely he shows up with AQ all that often, but if he thinks this guy just opens too big by function and that he's not a total nit, he may very well just jam it.
I'd definitely get it in JJ and definitely fold 99. TT is the borderline. I probably get it in, because I think he's jamming a few worse pairs, and occasionally tiny-reraising AA/KK when he has those.
Thanks for making this video and I do think it will help. I play a bit different nowadays as compared to when I played this tournament (it was a couple months before black friday), but I am sure some of my old leaks have carried over and become new leaks. For sure I flat quite a bit less pre now and find ways to take a marginal call pre into a 3bet bluff.
I was interested to see how much you hated the turn and river bluffs with the massive 73o hand where I bluff shoved the river. I had the same thought as you about the flop check raise so I called, I remember betting the turn for protection thinking that I don't want to let him see the river with 2 random overs (which he typically has when he has the BS I thought he was c/ring the flop with). Once he calls I put him pretty squarely on an A and would typically give up on most rivers but on the K I think there is a good bluff spot. I was pretty confident that he didn't have as good an A as he had because I had been so active with opening how could he not 3bet AJ, AQ, and AK (obv that read was wrong) but it is extremely unlikely he 3bets flop with almost any Kx hands and I thought I can rep AK, AQ, and some random Kxs, also at the time he was 2nd in chips and I though a bluff shove puts a lot of ICM pressure on him.